top of page

Super Bowl LVIII prop bets: Put your money on Travis Kelce

As the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs prepare to meet in Super Bowl LVIII, the primary betting lines established after the Jan. 28 conference title games have largely held up.



BetMGM is similar to most major sportsbooks, listing the 49ers as a two-point favorite. The game total, which opened at 47, has risen only a half-point in 10 days.


The big players holding the sharp money frequently wait to see the crush of public money on Super Bowl Sunday and react accordingly, finding value in the adjusted numbers.


We can’t wait, so we are offering our three best Super Bowl prop bets.


TRENDS


BetRivers shows only 30 percent of the money and 27 percent of the tickets on the 49ers moneyline, and 28 percent of money and tickets on the Niners spread.


People can’t quit believing in Patrick Mahomes.


More from BetRivers:


Mahomes is 14-3 straight up and 12-5 against the spread (ATS) as a starter in playoff games.

For his career, he is 10-3 straight up and 11-1-1 ATS as an underdog.


Playing the total? It’s been bet up to 47.5, but …


Eleven of the 49ers’ past 14 postseason games have gone under the total points line. Six of the Chiefs’ past eight games have gone under the total points line.


Finally, still thinking about betting against Mahomes? The Chiefs have covered the spread in five straight games.


Side note: We’re ignoring strange props such as these (available at BetOnline):


How many patties will be on Andy Reid’s postgame burger?

Over/Under 1.5


How many planes will be seen during the national anthem flyover?

Over/Under 4.5


Our three best stabs at the props menu keep things pretty football-centric.



PROP BET 1


Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers wide receiver over/under 12.5 yards with his first reception.


San Francisco quarterback Brock Purdy doesn’t need a safety-valve target so much as he needs a guy who catches intermediate routes well.


In his past three games, Aiyuk has nine catches for 125 yards (13.9 yards per catch). In the two games prior to that, he averaged 16.3 and 18.8 yards per catch.


The Chiefs will plan to stop Deebo Samuel’s runs and receptions as well as wheel routes to Christian McCaffrey. They will hope to flex their newfound toughness in shutting down the middle of the field — Aiyuk’s specialty.


The thought here is that there aren’t enough defenders to blanket everyone and that Purdy will find Aiyuk early for a tone-setting completion of 13-plus yards.


The bet: Aiyuk’s first catch over 12.5 yards (-105 at BetMGM).



PROP BET 2


Starting QBs alternate passing yards over/under.


The game script for these teams is likely for both to establish the run.


Strong lead ball carriers McCaffrey of the 49ers and Isiah Pacheco of the Chiefs will have a busy first half trying to grab the upper hand.


The clock will run.


Is there a world in which a Patrick Mahomes-led team is blown out in a postseason game? Leaning no. Therefore, here’s the way this prop will work:


Kansas City succeeds in pounding Pacheco; San Francisco stubbornly stays with McCaffrey — running and receiving.


Mahomes doesn’t need to throw downfield to keep the Chiefs close, or in front.

Purdy will have more pass plays in the second half and should have no problem reaching 200 yards by early in the fourth quarter.


In a close matchup, the quarterbacks should both settle in around 230-250 yards passing.


The bet: Same-game parlay, alternate passing yards. Purdy over 214.5; Mahomes under 293.5 (-120 at DraftKings).



PROP BET 3


Travis Kelce catching the football.


We know 13 is a lucky number for Taylor Swift . And we know that “49” is part of 49ers. And 4+9 is 13.


And we know that this is Super Bowl 58, and 5+8 is 13.


But Kelce is No. 87. And 8+7 is 15. And 15 is Mahomes’ number.


Is there a world in which Mahomes ignores Kelce? No.


This 7/70 same-game parlay is largely predicated on Kelce’s postseason resurgence after looking very old (think Nick Nolte in “North Dallas Forty” … Google it) in December.


But his past three playoff games have been a revelation. Kelce has 23 catches for 262 yards in those games.


Kansas City will need him to be great again. No cold hands, no Super Bowl cold feet.

Hot bet, people.


The bet: Same-game parlay: Travis Kelce over 6.5 receptions and 70-plus yards (+114 at DraftKings).



–Field Level Media

Comments


fanduel_lg_hrz_rgb_blu_pos.webp
draft kings.jpg
Regulated & Licensed
Logo for GameSense, promoting responsible gaming with tools and resources to help maintain control and make informed decision
Logo for MyWager Casino, depicting the brand's commitment to providing a personalized and varied online casino experience.
Graphic for 21 and Up, indicating age restriction and promoting responsible gaming and legal compliance in gambling.
Gamble Responsibly
1-800-GAMBLING, symbolizing a confidential helpline offering support, resources, and assistance for gambling issues
NCPG (National Council on Problem Gambling), representing support and advocacy for responsible and problem gambling solutions
  • Twitter
  • Instagram
  • Facebook

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

 

For Caesars Legal Disclaimers click HERE.

For state specific gambling help and information click HERE.

 

** If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling, call (800)-327-5050 for 24/7 support.

Terms and conditions at bet.WynnBET.com. Must be 21 or older to participate.  Get set before you bet – talk to GameSense first!

LiveChat @ GameSenseMA.com or call  1-800-GAM-1234.

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369)(NY). 21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WY).

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

21+ and present in NJ, PA, MI, or WV. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (NJ, PA, MI), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).

 

MyWager is your hub for sports betting analysis, latest news, and top sportsbooks promos. Compare and review the top online Sportsbook & Casino Promos in your state today. MyWager does not engage in any actual betting and is for entertainment purposes only. Users must be 21+. Please play responsibly. Not all states apply. 21+ and present in OH. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. MyWager disclaims all liability and the use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using MyWager, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured.

All product names, logos, brands, trademarks and registered trademarks are property of their respective owners. All company, product and service names used in this website are for identification purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and brands does not imply endorsement.

© 2024 MyWager.io | Terms of ServicePrivacy Policy | Latest News

bottom of page